Check your intuition: The birthday problem.
Imagine a group of people. How big do you think the group would have to be before there's more than a 50% chance that two people in the group have the same birthday? The answer is ... probably lower than you think. David Knuffke explains how the birthday problem exposes our often-poor intuition when it comes to probability.
Answer the following questions:
The assumptions made for the birthday problem are what allow us to answer it in the way that we did. How would the answer change if we changed the assumptions?
The video ends with the statement "sometimes coincidences aren't as coincidental as they seem." Explain.
The solution to the birthday problem shown in the video is just one way to solve it. Research some other solutions, describe the approaches they take. How does the answer using those approaches compare to the answer in this lesson?
Record a 1 minute video recommending this pill.